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US Stocks Post Largest Drop Since May  09/20 16:10

   Stocks on Wall Street closed sharply lower Monday, mirroring losses overseas 
and handing the S&P 500 index its biggest drop in four months.

   (AP) -- Stocks on Wall Street closed sharply lower Monday, mirroring losses 
overseas and handing the S&P 500 index its biggest drop in four months.

   Worries about heavily indebted Chinese real estate developers -- and the 
damage they could do to investors worldwide if they default -- rippled across 
markets. Investors are also concerned that the U.S. Federal Reserve could 
signal this week that it's planning to pull back some of the support measures 
it's been giving markets and the economy.

   The S&P 500 fell 75.26 points, or 1.7%, to 4,357.73, its biggest drop since 
May. At one point, the benchmark index was down 2.9%, the biggest decline since 
last October. The S&P 500 was coming off two weeks of losses and is on track 
for its first monthly decline since January. The S&P 500 has gone an unusually 
long time without a pullback of 5% or more.

   The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 614.41 points, or 1.8%, to 33,970.47. 
The blue-chip index was briefly down 971 points. The Nasdaq fell 330.06 points, 
or 2.2%, to 14,713.90. The Hang Seng, Hong Kong's main index, dropped 3.3% for 
its biggest loss since July. European markets fell about 2%.

   "What's happened here is that the list of risks has finally become too big 
to ignore," said Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street 
Global Advisors. "There's just a lot of uncertainty at a seasonally challenging 
time for markets."

   The worries over Chinese property developers and debt have recently centered 
on Evergrande, one of China's biggest real estate developers, which looks like 
it may be unable to repay its debts.

   The fear is that a potential collapse there could send a chain reaction 
through the Chinese property-development industry and spill over into the 
broader financial system, similar to how the failure of Lehman Brothers 
inflamed the 2008 financial crisis and Great Recession. Those property 
companies have been big drivers of the Chinese economy, which is the world's 
second-largest.

   If they fail to make good on their debts, the heavy losses taken by 
investors who hold their bonds would raise worries about their financial 
strength. Those bondholders could also be forced to sell other, unrelated 
investments to raise cash, which could hurt prices in seemingly unrelated 
markets. It's a product of how tightly connected global markets have become, 
and it's a concept the financial world calls "contagion."

   Many analysts say they expect China's government to prevent such a scenario, 
and that this does not look like a Lehman-type moment. Nevertheless, any hint 
of uncertainty may be enough to upset Wall Street after the S&P 500 has glided 
higher in almost uninterrupted fashion since October.

   Besides Evergrande, several other worries have been lurking underneath the 
stock market's mostly calm surface. In addition to the Fed possibly announcing 
that it's letting off the accelerator on its support for the economy, Congress 
may opt for a destructive game of chicken before allowing the U.S. Treasury to 
borrow more money and the COVID-19 pandemic continues to weigh on the global 
economy.

   Regardless of what the biggest cause for Monday's market swoon was, some 
analysts said such a decline was due. The S&P 500 hasn't had even a 5% drop 
from a peak since October, and the nearly unstoppable rise has left stocks 
looking more expensive and with less room for error.

   All the concerns have pushed some on Wall Street to predict upcoming drops 
for stocks. Morgan Stanley strategists said Monday that conditions may be 
ripening to cause a fall of 20% or more for the S&P 500. They pointed to 
weakening confidence among shoppers, the potential for higher taxes plus 
inflation to eat into corporate profits and other signs that the economy's 
growth may slow sharply.

   Even if the economy can avoid that worse-than-expected slowdown, Morgan 
Stanley's Michael Wilson said stocks could nevertheless drop about 10% as the 
Fed pares back on its support for markets. The Fed is due to deliver its latest 
economic and interest rate policy update on Wednesday.

   Earlier this month, Stifel strategist Barry Bannister said he expects a drop 
of 10% to 15% for the S&P 500 in the final three months of the year. He cited 
the Fed's tapering of its support, among other factors. So did Bank of America 
strategist Savita Subramanian, as she set a target of 4,250 for the S&P 500 by 
the end of the year. That would be a 4.1% drop from Friday's close.

   Technology companies led the broader market lower. Apple fell 2.1% and 
chipmaker Nvidia dropped 3.6%.

   Banks posted big losses as bond yields slipped. That hurts their ability to 
charge more lucrative interest rates on loans. The yield on the 10-year 
Treasury fell to 1.31% from 1.37% late Friday. Bank of America fell 3.4%.

   Oil prices fell 2.3% and weighed down energy stocks. Exxon Mobil fell 2.7%.

   Smaller company stocks were among the biggest losers. The Russell 2000 fell 
54.67 points, or 2.4%, to 2,182.20.

   Airlines were among the few bright spots. American Airlines rose 3% to lead 
all the gainers in the S&P 500. Delta Air Lines rose 1.7% and United Airlines 
added 1.6%.

   Cryptocurrency traders also had a rough day. The price of Bitcoin fell 
nearly 8% to $43,717, according to Coindesk.

   Investors will have a chance for a closer look at how the slowdown affected 
a wide range of companies when the next round of corporate earnings begins in 
October. Solid earnings have been a key driver for stocks, but supply chain 
disruptions, higher costs and other factors could make it more of a struggle 
for companies to meet high expectations.

   "The market's biggest strength this year could become its biggest risk," 
Arone said.

 
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